The struggle around the Islamabad Accord is also a struggle over who will shape post-Khamenei Iran. The opponents’ objective is less to bring the accord down today than to set the terms of the sixty-day negotiating process.

Iran is fighting two wars at once, and they are not separate conflicts but two faces of the same one. The first is the military war now playing out in the air and across the country’s industrial heartland. The second is already being set in motion by these same strikes, yet it will become fully visible and will truly be lived, only after the guns fall silent. It is the war of the aftermath, the economic collapse, the social strain and the political reckoning that the destruct

The rallying-round-the-flag reflex of the war’s first phase is real, but the scale of infrastructure destruction is preparing a structurally deeper version of the delayed-instability pattern that followed June 2025.

On the morning of Feb. 28, 2026, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed at his compound in Tehran in a joint Israeli-American military operation. The change in Iran's Supreme Leadership since the 1979 Revolution has now begun, not in peacetime, but in the middle of an active war. Khamenei’s assassination has set in motion a process that will fundamentally shape Iran’s political future. Yet, to understand how this process may unfold, one must first properly gr

Iranian society is passing through a period in which support for the regime has eroded without fully dissolving, in which opposition has spread while remaining unorganized, and in which external pressure both triggers and complicates social dynamics.

The Iranian diaspora responded to the 28 December protests rapidly and on many fronts. Reza Pahlavi emerged as the most visible opposition voice in Western media. Yet the deep divisions within the diaspora prevented the emergence of a common leadership.

The protests that have been sweeping Iran for the past week have once again raised the question: "Is this the first step toward regime change?" However, posing such a question without grasping the background of events on the ground often leads to fundamentally flawed analyses. To fully understand the nuances of the issue, the subject must be examined in layers. Iran has been in a state of crisis that has intensified since 2016 and escalated significantly after 2018, paralleli

Expectations of political change in Iran are voiced so frequently, especially among diaspora circles, that even without concrete developments inside the country, transition scenarios are already debated. This shows how political and intellectual discussions outside Iran often run on a different timeline from the realities within. Among the figures most often mentioned in these debates is the exiled crown prince, Reza Pahlavi. When Iran’s last shah, Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, left

In Türkiye, there is a common belief among some groups that there are 40 million Turks in Iran, all eagerly striving for independence....

Iran has always been a country with a dynamic agenda. Throughout the first half of 2024, events kept Iran constantly in the global...

How Did the Accident Happen? Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi and the accompanying state officials met with Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev and other officials on May 19, 2024, for the inauguration of the Red Castle and Khudaferin dams located at the Azerbaijan-Iran border. Unlike recent events, the discussions took place in a very warm atmosphere, with friendly messages exchanged between the parties. After the meeting and the inauguration, President Raisi and his delegatio

The reformists are entering the March 1st elections amidst significant disillusionment and ensuing debates. The Reformist Front announced...

Although overshadowed by issues such as the war in Ukraine, the Karabakh issue, attacks on military bases, and the agreement with Saudi...

Introduction The long-standing dispute between Iran and Afghanistan concerning the use of the Hirmand (Helmand) River, a problem that has...

Iranian officials have been making statement after statement about the water crisis as summer approaches. As is well known, Iran is...